Skip to main content
V-Lab

Ibotta Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

5,828.31

decreased by 17.42

1 Week

5,809.04

decreased by 36.69

1 Month

6,041.44

increased by 195.71

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:44 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Ibotta Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 18, 2024 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.995, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 138 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0197
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9851
21.50***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0197
-0.01
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.8480
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.2433
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.1285
0.01

Persistence:

0.995

Half-life:

138 days