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V-Lab

Grp Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

10,066.28

increased by 980.41

1 Week

8,377.00

decreased by 708.87

1 Month

7,766.89

decreased by 1,318.98

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:58 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Grp Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 8, 2009 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 61 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.3758
3.82***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1878
9.17***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8008
38.18***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ10.1401
0.39
γ20.3655
0.69
γ3-1.4195
-2.55**
γ41.1444
1.58
γ50.6207
0.98
γ6-3.2237
-5.08***
γ75.6187
4.81***
γ8-7.0405
-4.49***
γ98.9498
5.04***

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

61 days