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V-Lab

Grp Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

11,122.13

decreased by 2,033.88

1 Week

12,923.01

decreased by 233.00

1 Month

9,237.21

decreased by 3,918.80

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 01:45 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Grp Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 8, 2009 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 54 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.3677
3.81***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1845
9.09***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8027
38.67***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ10.1495
0.44
γ20.3759
0.72
γ3-1.4336
-2.47**
γ41.0830
1.47
γ50.7785
1.22
γ6-3.4680
-5.19***
γ75.8457
4.68***
γ8-6.7946
-4.26***
γ97.7876
4.68***

Persistence:

0.987

Half-life:

54 days