V-Lab
Grp Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
6,856.91
1 Week
5,713.53
1 Month
6,280.68
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 09:35 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 8, 2009 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 46 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1911 | 0.31 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6307 | 18.87*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1911 | -0.15 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 1.08 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1292 | 0.51 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8708 | 4.70*** |
Persistence:
0.726
Half-life:
2 days
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