Skip to main content
V-Lab

Galaxy Payroll Group Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026

1 Day

967,425.30

increased by 270,955.30

1 Week

578,666.52

decreased by 117,803.48

1 Month

642,314.51

decreased by 54,155.49

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 18, 2026 at 09:24 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Galaxy Payroll Group Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 12, 2024 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 413 trading days (~1.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9553
3.44***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.4457
7.46***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5526
9.21***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-2.4125
-6.23***

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

413 days