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Galaxy Payroll Group Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

732,916.30

decreased by 118,444.10

1 Week

814,698.32

decreased by 36,662.08

1 Month

928,193.70

increased by 76,833.30

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 27, 2026 at 09:22 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Galaxy Payroll Group Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 12, 2024 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 442 trading days (~1.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9547
3.53***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.4269
7.08***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5715
9.44***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-2.1850
-4.88***

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

442 days