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Galaxy Payroll Group Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

602,856.90

decreased by 100,899.90

1 Week

692,770.94

decreased by 10,985.86

1 Month

731,430.10

increased by 27,673.30

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 27, 2026 at 09:22 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Galaxy Payroll Group Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 12, 2024 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.01
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2449
9.74***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7246
77.45***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0610
1.61

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-