V-Lab
Galaxy Payroll Group Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026
1 Day
1,506,097.00
increased by 382,483.00
1 Week
913,975.94
decreased by 209,638.06
1 Month
869,672.34
decreased by 253,941.66
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 18, 2026 at 09:24 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 12, 2024 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
μ
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.8462 | 37.04*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.3059 | 26.98*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.5000 | -14.43*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 1,579,947.0000 |
Persistence:
0.902
Half-life:
7 days
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