V-Lab
Galaxy Payroll Group Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026
1 Day
834,498.70
decreased by 238,786.30
1 Week
1,030,257.96
decreased by 43,027.04
1 Month
1,158,264.26
increased by 84,979.26
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 27, 2026 at 09:22 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 12, 2024 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
μ
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.8176 | 34.82*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.3264 | 28.23*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.5000 | -14.35*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 1,641,372.0000 |
Persistence:
0.894
Half-life:
6 days
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