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Galaxy Payroll Group Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026

1 Day

1,506,097.00

increased by 382,483.00

1 Week

913,975.94

decreased by 209,638.06

1 Month

869,672.34

decreased by 253,941.66

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 18, 2026 at 09:24 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Galaxy Payroll Group Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 12, 2024 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.8462
37.04***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3059
26.98***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.5000
-14.43***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

1,579,947.0000

Persistence:

0.902

Half-life:

7 days