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V-Lab

Grace Kennedy Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026

1 Day

9,837.26

increased by 2,135.71

1 Week

6,633.31

decreased by 1,068.24

1 Month

5,644.72

decreased by 2,056.83

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 12:56 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Grace Kennedy Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 16, 2003 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 6 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.9168
1.83*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0969
5.23***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8006
21.73***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ10.9139
2.84***
γ2-1.2763
-3.05***
γ30.3928
1.45
γ40.1097
0.34
γ5-0.4608
-1.34
γ60.5604
1.87*
γ7-0.5600
-2.59***
γ80.7242
3.65***
γ9-0.5608
-2.78***
γ100.2890
1.28

Persistence:

0.897

Half-life:

6 days