Famous Brands Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Thursday, July 9th, 2026
1 Day
5,403.32
increased by 1,038.61
1 Week
4,193.34
decreased by 171.37
1 Month
3,713.30
decreased by 651.41
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 9, 2026 at 08:21 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 9, 1994 to Jul 3, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 22 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.7172 | 4.61*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0555 | 6.04*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9139 | 52.39*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=9
| γ1 | 0.1680 | 1.57 |
| γ2 | -0.6814 | -4.32*** |
| γ3 | 0.9159 | 8.72*** |
| γ4 | -0.5899 | -4.76*** |
| γ5 | 0.1892 | 1.57 |
| γ6 | 0.1194 | 1.36 |
| γ7 | -0.0218 | -0.36 |
| γ8 | -0.2921 | -5.48*** |
| γ9 | 0.3402 | 3.97*** |
Persistence:
0.969
Half-life:
22 days
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