Famous Brands Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Thursday, July 9th, 2026
1 Day
5,774.07
1 Week
4,030.19
1 Month
3,235.45
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 9, 2026 at 08:21 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 9, 1994 to Jul 3, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 86 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0783 | 0.07 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8693 | 18.12*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0783 | -0.03 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 3.9599 | 0.14 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1209 | 0.14 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8791 | 1.03 |
Persistence:
0.908
Half-life:
7 days
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