V-Lab
Famous Brands Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
3,844.64
1 Week
4,069.30
1 Month
5,312.71
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 16, 2026 at 12:36 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 9, 1994 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 86 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0787 | 0.07 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8683 | 18.04*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0787 | -0.03 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 4.0903 | 0.13 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1217 | 0.14 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8783 | 1.02 |
Persistence:
0.908
Half-life:
7 days
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