Famous Brands Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Liquidity prediction for Thursday, July 9th, 2026
1 Day
4,942.86
1 Week
3,959.53
1 Month
4,010.43
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 9, 2026 at 08:21 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 9, 1994 to Jul 3, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 167% more after negative returns
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.5264 | 1.22 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0163 | 9.08*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9701 | 975.98*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0272 | 8.85*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1386294 days
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