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V-Lab

Ecopack Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026

1 Day

13,319.40

increased by 7,099.77

1 Week

8,963.83

increased by 2,744.20

1 Month

4,167.67

decreased by 2,051.96

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 07:48 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Ecopack Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 1, 2012 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.996, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 162 trading days (~0.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.0081
4.79***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2759
10.53***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7198
27.23***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ1-4.3334
-2.28**
γ27.7154
2.87***
γ3-7.1860
-3.99***
γ49.1115
3.61***
γ5-9.7251
-4.02***
γ66.6356
5.63***
γ7-2.3921
-3.58***
γ8-2.3599
-3.61***
γ96.0857
6.90***

Persistence:

0.996

Half-life:

162 days