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V-Lab

Ecopack Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026

1 Day

24,143.33

increased by 15,231.29

1 Week

14,972.97

increased by 6,060.93

1 Month

6,651.36

decreased by 2,260.68

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 07:48 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Ecopack Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 1, 2012 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.993, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 101 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.5759
1.48
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6673
107.28***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.5000
-3.52***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.05
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9593
123.83***

Persistence:

0.993

Half-life:

101 days