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Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, September 23rd, 2026

1 Day

2,991.72

increased by 462.47

1 Week

2,794.52

increased by 265.27

1 Month

4,306.65

increased by 1,777.40

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 22, 2026 at 09:41 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 24, 2021 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 42 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.6670
5.46***
αARCH0.1498
6.58***
βGARCH0.8339
27.38***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0674
-1.71*

0.984

Persistence

42d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6670
5.46***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1498
6.58***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8339
27.38***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0674
-1.71*

Persistence:

0.984

Half-life:

42 days