V-Lab
Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
4,669.67
1 Week
5,010.70
1 Month
4,157.98
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:40 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 24, 2021 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 106 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0789 | 0.15 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9010 | 33.16*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0789 | -0.08 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.14 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1807 | 0.14 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8193 | 12.85*** |
Persistence:
0.940
Half-life:
11 days
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