Dito Cme Holdings Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026
1 Day
1,846.58
decreased by 408.04
1 Week
2,369.39
increased by 114.77
1 Month
2,639.53
increased by 384.91
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 03:23 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 17, 2020 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 209 trading days (~0.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9242 | 4.90*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1892 | 11.14*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8075 | 46.73*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.1387 | -1.53 |
Persistence:
0.997
Half-life:
209 days
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