Dito Cme Holdings Corp Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026
1 Day
1,927.47
decreased by 280.57
1 Week
2,322.99
increased by 114.95
1 Month
2,508.75
increased by 300.71
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 03:23 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 17, 2020 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.995, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 129 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 253% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.3515 | 6.98*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0540 | 12.06*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8723 | 280.40*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1366 | 19.35*** |
Persistence:
0.995
Half-life:
129 days
Other Dito Cme Holdings Corp Analyses
Other Asymmetric ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities