Dito Cme Holdings Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026
1 Day
1,824.63
1 Week
2,349.67
1 Month
2,656.76
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 03:23 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 17, 2020 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 36 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1752 | 0.02 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7783 | 124.01*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1752 | -0.01 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.03 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.2918 | 0.03 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.7030 | 0.22 |
Persistence:
0.866
Half-life:
5 days
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