V-Lab
Cyient Limited Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026
1 Day
23.56
decreased by 3.09
1 Week
24.00
decreased by 2.65
1 Month
30.36
increased by 3.71
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 08:36 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 29, 2000 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 99021 trading days (~392.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~99021 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.0338 | 1.34 |
| αARCH | 0.2314 | 0.02 |
| βGARCH | 0.7686 | 0.06 |
Spline Coefficients
K=3
| γ1 | -0.0342 | 0.00 |
| γ2 | -0.0144 | 0.00 |
| γ3 | 0.1015 | 0.05 |
1.000
Persistence99021d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0338 | 1.34 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2314 | 0.02 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7686 | 0.06 |
Spline Coefficients
K=3
| γ1 | -0.0342 | 0.00 |
| γ2 | -0.0144 | 0.00 |
| γ3 | 0.1015 | 0.05 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
99021 days
Other Cyient Limited Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities