V-Lab
Cyient Limited Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 18th, 2026
1 Day
46.04
decreased by 10.34
1 Week
43.20
decreased by 13.18
1 Month
45.82
decreased by 10.56
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 18, 2026 at 07:18 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 29, 2000 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 2586 trading days (~10.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1297 | 7.31*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2300 | 24.53*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7697 | 81.91*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=3
| γ1 | 0.0196 | 0.73 |
| γ2 | -0.0761 | -2.27** |
| γ3 | 0.1170 | 5.38*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
2586 days
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