V-Lab
Cyient Limited Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 29th, 2026
1 Day
46.52
decreased by 5.01
1 Week
53.88
increased by 2.35
1 Month
65.61
increased by 14.08
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 29, 2026 at 06:54 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 29, 2000 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1642 trading days (~6.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1357 | 7.24*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2298 | 24.39*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7697 | 81.31*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=3
| γ1 | 0.0268 | 1.08 |
| γ2 | -0.0846 | -2.70*** |
| γ3 | 0.1186 | 5.46*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1642 days
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