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Cyient Limited Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, November 9th, 2026

1 Day

43.32

increased by 7.48

1 Week

30.52

decreased by 5.32

1 Month

25.09

decreased by 10.75

Analysis last updated: Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 10:21 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/06/2024

to

11/06/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Cyient Limited ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 29, 2000 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 231049 trading days (~916.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~231049 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.5997
αARCH0.2349
βGARCH0.7651
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ1-0.0616
γ20.0679

1.000

Persistence

231049d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5997
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2349
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7651
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ1-0.0616
γ20.0679

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

231049 days