V-Lab
Cyient Limited Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 29th, 2026
1 Day
51.45
1 Week
58.98
1 Month
65.33
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 29, 2026 at 06:54 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 29, 2000 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 693147 trading days (~2750.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 40% more after negative returns
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8280 | 13.01*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1493 | 30.33*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8205 | 380.23*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0603 | 9.13*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
693147 days
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