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Cyient Limited ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 29th, 2026

1 Day

42.42

decreased by 4.15

1 Week

48.67

increased by 2.10

1 Month

59.45

increased by 12.88

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 29, 2026 at 06:54 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Cyient Limited ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 29, 2000 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 37467 trading days (~148.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2186
1.25
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7026
38.35***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1576
0.48
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

6.0734
0.01
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1444
2.53**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8556
12.28***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

37467 days