V-Lab
Cyient Limited ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 18th, 2026
1 Day
45.04
1 Week
42.45
1 Month
42.23
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 18, 2026 at 07:18 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 29, 2000 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 237 trading days (~0.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 41 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2018 | 2.88*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7485 | 178.85*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0936 | 0.70 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 2.54** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 1.0000 | 2.83*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.24 |
Persistence:
0.997
Half-life:
237 days
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