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Cyient Limited ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 18th, 2026

1 Day

45.04

decreased by 10.40

1 Week

42.45

decreased by 12.99

1 Month

42.23

decreased by 13.21

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 18, 2026 at 07:18 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Cyient Limited ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 29, 2000 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 237 trading days (~0.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

41
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2018
2.88***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7485
178.85***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0936
0.70
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
2.54**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

1.0000
2.83***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.24

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

237 days