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V-Lab

Connplex Cinemas Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

5,340.95

decreased by 291.49

1 Week

3,964.17

decreased by 1,668.27

1 Month

3,219.91

decreased by 2,412.53

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 07:10 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Connplex Cinemas Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 15, 2025 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 35 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9899
9.74***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1083
2.52**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8719
13.16***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-3.7830
-1.37

Persistence:

0.980

Half-life:

35 days