Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Connplex Cinemas Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, October 27th, 2026

1 Day

9,013.34

increased by 5,859.40

1 Week

4,146.68

increased by 992.74

1 Month

2,439.54

decreased by 714.40

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 27, 2026 at 07:41 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/26/2024

to

10/26/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Connplex Cinemas Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 15, 2025 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 21 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.1141
9.25***
αARCH0.1135
2.60***
βGARCH0.8540
12.55***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-2.0924
-2.13**

0.968

Persistence

21d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1141
9.25***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1135
2.60***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8540
12.55***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-2.0924
-2.13**

Persistence:

0.968

Half-life:

21 days