V-Lab
Connplex Cinemas Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
4,663.10
1 Week
3,838.54
1 Month
2,888.53
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 07:10 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 15, 2025 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6767 | 0.00 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.5000 | 0.01 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.7075 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.2788 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.927
Half-life:
9 days
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