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V-Lab

Clearfield Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

6,350.37

increased by 198.68

1 Week

5,743.81

decreased by 407.88

1 Month

5,465.04

decreased by 686.65

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 09:07 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Clearfield Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1096 trading days (~4.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.0285
2.65***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1302
10.97***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8692
72.27***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=8
γ1-0.0290
-0.22
γ2-0.2102
-1.14
γ30.6672
7.35***
γ4-0.9687
-6.90***
γ50.9252
3.62***
γ6-0.4545
-1.91*
γ7-0.0496
-0.35
γ80.3541
2.80***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

1096 days