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Clearfield Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

6,864.60

increased by 270.23

1 Week

6,128.73

decreased by 465.64

1 Month

5,830.19

decreased by 764.18

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 09:07 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Clearfield Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.991, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 73 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

106
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1536
17.27***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8734
381.22***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0728
-4.65***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.14
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9984

Persistence:

0.991

Half-life:

73 days