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V-Lab

Clabe Capital CA Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 22nd, 2026

1 Day

1,038.35

decreased by 19.57

1 Week

1,255.82

increased by 197.90

1 Month

3,944.20

increased by 2,886.28

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 22, 2026 at 08:52 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Clabe Capital CA ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 5, 2025 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 4 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.2461
3.12***
αARCH0.3114
3.79***
βGARCH0.5220
4.13***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-13.2907
-2.59***

0.833

Persistence

4d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2461
3.12***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3114
3.79***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5220
4.13***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-13.2907
-2.59***

Persistence:

0.833

Half-life:

4 days