V-Lab
Clabe Capital CA Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 22nd, 2026
1 Day
2,688.43
decreased by 367.99
1 Week
3,534.01
increased by 477.59
1 Month
5,309.26
increased by 2,252.84
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 22, 2026 at 08:52 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 5, 2025 to Sep 18, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 48 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 48 days.
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 48-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 0.00 |
| αARCH | 0.1544 | 0.66 |
| βGARCH | 0.8780 | 16.18*** |
| γleverage | -0.0933 | -0.36 |
0.986
Persistence48d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.00 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1544 | 0.66 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8780 | 16.18*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0933 | -0.36 |
Persistence:
0.986
Half-life:
48 days
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