V-Lab
Barem Ambalaj Sa Ve Ti An Si Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, July 30th, 2026
1 Day
14,905.64
increased by 4,464.33
1 Week
9,838.92
decreased by 602.39
1 Month
2,580.55
decreased by 7,860.76
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 08:11 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 10, 2022 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 5 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.5682 | 6.24*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3000 | 4.67*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5704 | 8.84*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.2102 | -3.86*** |
Persistence:
0.870
Half-life:
5 days
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