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Barem Ambalaj Sa Ve Ti An Si Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, July 30th, 2026

1 Day

20,953.99

increased by 5,808.36

1 Week

13,120.27

decreased by 2,025.36

1 Month

3,358.73

decreased by 11,786.90

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 08:11 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Barem Ambalaj Sa Ve Ti An Si ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 10, 2022 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 226% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
5.67***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0899
9.50***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8086
116.59***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2030
10.67***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-