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Barem Ambalaj Sa Ve Ti An Si ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, July 30th, 2026

1 Day

16,630.83

increased by 4,237.17

1 Week

11,606.79

decreased by 786.87

1 Month

2,991.95

decreased by 9,401.71

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 08:11 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Barem Ambalaj Sa Ve Ti An Si ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 10, 2022 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2266
0.74
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6928
33.13***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.2266
-0.38
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.92
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.6101
1.17
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.3689
1.36

Persistence:

0.806

Half-life:

3 days