V-Lab
Barem Ambalaj Sa Ve Ti An Si ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, July 30th, 2026
1 Day
16,630.83
1 Week
11,606.79
1 Month
2,991.95
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 08:11 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 10, 2022 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2266 | 0.74 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6928 | 33.13*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2266 | -0.38 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.92 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.6101 | 1.17 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.3689 | 1.36 |
Persistence:
0.806
Half-life:
3 days
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