V-Lab
Autoline Industries Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026
1 Day
1,939.05
increased by 365.75
1 Week
1,746.17
increased by 172.87
1 Month
5,075.35
increased by 3,502.05
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 07:29 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 1, 2007 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 224 trading days (~0.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
High persistence: persistence 0.997, shock half-life ~224 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.6100 | 5.83*** |
| αARCH | 0.2044 | 15.38*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7925 | 56.64*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0095 | -1.46 |
0.997
Persistence224d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6100 | 5.83*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2044 | 15.38*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7925 | 56.64*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0095 | -1.46 |
Persistence:
0.997
Half-life:
224 days
Other Autoline Industries Ltd Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities