V-Lab
Autoline Industries Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
8,941.61
increased by 6,763.01
1 Week
3,776.50
increased by 1,597.90
1 Month
3,882.69
increased by 1,704.09
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 09:21 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 1, 2007 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 217 trading days (~0.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6304 | 5.79*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2003 | 15.10*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7965 | 56.93*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0082 | -1.26 |
Persistence:
0.997
Half-life:
217 days
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