Autoline Industries Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, November 11th, 2026
1 Day
5,275.21
decreased by 696.16
1 Week
6,032.15
increased by 60.78
1 Month
4,845.38
decreased by 1,125.99
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 08:34 PM UTC
Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 1, 2007 to Nov 9, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 214 trading days (~0.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
High persistence: persistence 0.997, shock half-life ~214 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.6298 | 5.78*** |
| αARCH | 0.2049 | 15.61*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7919 | 57.15*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0084 | -1.34 |
0.997
Persistence214d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6298 | 5.78*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2049 | 15.61*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7919 | 57.15*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0084 | -1.34 |
Persistence:
0.997
Half-life:
214 days
Other Autoline Industries Ltd Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities