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Autoline Industries Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, November 11th, 2026

1 Day

5,275.21

decreased by 696.16

1 Week

6,032.15

increased by 60.78

1 Month

4,845.38

decreased by 1,125.99

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 08:34 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/09/2024

to

11/09/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Autoline Industries Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 1, 2007 to Nov 9, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 214 trading days (~0.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.997, shock half-life ~214 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.6298
5.78***
αARCH0.2049
15.61***
βGARCH0.7919
57.15***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0084
-1.34

0.997

Persistence

214d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6298
5.78***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2049
15.61***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7919
57.15***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0084
-1.34

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

214 days