V-Lab
Autoline Industries Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026
1 Day
2,443.24
1 Week
2,362.74
1 Month
6,228.67
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 07:29 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 1, 2007 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 27726 trading days (~110.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 98% more after negative returns
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 0.61 |
| αARCH | 0.1143 | 8.75*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8300 | 78.27*** |
| γleverage | 0.1114 | 5.34*** |
1.000
Persistence27726d
Half-lifeILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.61 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1143 | 8.75*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8300 | 78.27*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1114 | 5.34*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
27726 days
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