V-Lab
Autoline Industries Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
9,655.92
increased by 7,653.60
1 Week
3,832.36
increased by 1,830.04
1 Month
4,006.28
increased by 2,003.96
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 09:20 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 1, 2007 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1343 trading days (~5.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 104% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 2.44** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1092 | 33.93*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8333 | 315.30*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1139 | 22.13*** |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
1343 days
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