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Autoline Industries Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

9,655.92

increased by 7,653.60

1 Week

3,832.36

increased by 1,830.04

1 Month

4,006.28

increased by 2,003.96

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 09:20 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Autoline Industries Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 1, 2007 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1343 trading days (~5.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 104% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
2.44**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1092
33.93***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8333
315.30***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1139
22.13***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

1343 days