V-Lab
Autoline Industries Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
10,391.13
1 Week
4,198.13
1 Month
3,984.50
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 09:21 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 1, 2007 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1924 | 0.07 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7375 | 13.93*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1924 | -0.03 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.08 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.2413 | 0.08 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.7587 | 1.26 |
Persistence:
0.834
Half-life:
4 days
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