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Asahimas Flat Glass Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 18th, 2026

1 Day

1,282.92

decreased by 114.17

1 Week

1,414.05

increased by 16.96

1 Month

2,350.07

increased by 952.98

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 16, 2026 at 02:09 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Asahimas Flat Glass Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 1, 1996 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 939 trading days (~3.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3.6669
1.22
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0929
6.67***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9064
65.10***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ10.8583
3.76***
γ2-1.0840
-2.72***
γ30.0089
0.02
γ40.6964
1.66*
γ5-1.7403
-3.76***
γ63.0210
5.49***
γ7-2.5610
-5.35***
γ80.4670
1.28
γ90.7125
1.70*
γ10-0.2412
-0.26

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

939 days