V-Lab
Asahimas Flat Glass Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
3,496.79
decreased by 328.97
1 Week
3,721.87
decreased by 103.89
1 Month
3,913.48
increased by 87.72
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 06:07 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 1, 1996 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 933 trading days (~3.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 3.6775 | 1.22 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0929 | 6.84*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9064 | 66.84*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=10
| γ1 | 0.8653 | 3.77*** |
| γ2 | -1.0866 | -2.70*** |
| γ3 | -0.0083 | -0.02 |
| γ4 | 0.7296 | 1.75* |
| γ5 | -1.7826 | -4.00*** |
| γ6 | 3.0443 | 5.86*** |
| γ7 | -2.5404 | -5.51*** |
| γ8 | 0.4423 | 1.24 |
| γ9 | 0.6563 | 1.49 |
| γ10 | -0.0297 | -0.03 |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
933 days
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