V-Lab
Asahimas Flat Glass Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
1,852.79
decreased by 234.80
1 Week
2,131.56
increased by 43.97
1 Month
3,363.53
increased by 1,275.94
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 01:51 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 1, 1996 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1112 trading days (~4.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 3.9425 | 1.30 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1148 | 9.97*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8846 | 77.20*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=10
| γ1 | 0.7517 | 3.12*** |
| γ2 | -0.9655 | -2.60*** |
| γ3 | 0.0153 | 0.04 |
| γ4 | 0.6718 | 1.80* |
| γ5 | -1.7639 | -4.14*** |
| γ6 | 3.1130 | 6.07*** |
| γ7 | -2.6807 | -5.92*** |
| γ8 | 0.7342 | 1.62 |
| γ9 | -0.9414 | -0.54 |
| γ10 | 4.4441 | 1.35 |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
1112 days
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