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Asahimas Flat Glass Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

3,496.79

decreased by 328.97

1 Week

3,721.87

decreased by 103.89

1 Month

3,913.48

increased by 87.72

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 06:07 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Asahimas Flat Glass Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 1, 1996 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 933 trading days (~3.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3.6775
1.22
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0929
6.84***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9064
66.84***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ10.8653
3.77***
γ2-1.0866
-2.70***
γ3-0.0083
-0.02
γ40.7296
1.75*
γ5-1.7826
-4.00***
γ63.0443
5.86***
γ7-2.5404
-5.51***
γ80.4423
1.24
γ90.6563
1.49
γ10-0.0297
-0.03

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

933 days