V-Lab
Asahimas Flat Glass Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 18th, 2026
1 Day
1,282.92
decreased by 114.17
1 Week
1,414.05
increased by 16.96
1 Month
2,350.07
increased by 952.98
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 16, 2026 at 02:09 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 1, 1996 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 939 trading days (~3.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 3.6669 | 1.22 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0929 | 6.67*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9064 | 65.10*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=10
| γ1 | 0.8583 | 3.76*** |
| γ2 | -1.0840 | -2.72*** |
| γ3 | 0.0089 | 0.02 |
| γ4 | 0.6964 | 1.66* |
| γ5 | -1.7403 | -3.76*** |
| γ6 | 3.0210 | 5.49*** |
| γ7 | -2.5610 | -5.35*** |
| γ8 | 0.4670 | 1.28 |
| γ9 | 0.7125 | 1.70* |
| γ10 | -0.2412 | -0.26 |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
939 days
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