Skip to main content
V-Lab

Asahimas Flat Glass Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

1,852.79

decreased by 234.80

1 Week

2,131.56

increased by 43.97

1 Month

3,363.53

increased by 1,275.94

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 01:51 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Asahimas Flat Glass Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 1, 1996 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1112 trading days (~4.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3.9425
1.30
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1148
9.97***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8846
77.20***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ10.7517
3.12***
γ2-0.9655
-2.60***
γ30.0153
0.04
γ40.6718
1.80*
γ5-1.7639
-4.14***
γ63.1130
6.07***
γ7-2.6807
-5.92***
γ80.7342
1.62
γ9-0.9414
-0.54
γ104.4441
1.35

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

1112 days