V-Lab
Asahimas Flat Glass Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
1,036.20
1 Week
1,142.39
1 Month
1,781.06
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 01:48 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 1, 1996 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 46% more after negative returns
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.4619 | 14.21*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0511 | 11.22*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9373 | 459.47*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0232 | 3.18*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1386294 days
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