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Asahimas Flat Glass Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 18th, 2026

1 Day

1,337.15

decreased by 87.68

1 Week

1,441.64

increased by 16.81

1 Month

2,153.32

increased by 728.49

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 16, 2026 at 02:08 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Asahimas Flat Glass Co Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 1, 1996 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 45% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4588
14.22***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0510
11.22***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9374
459.98***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0231
3.16***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-