V-Lab
Asahimas Flat Glass Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
1,173.46
1 Week
1,362.49
1 Month
2,619.67
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 01:49 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 1, 1996 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 46 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 46 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1525 | 0.27 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9087 | 389.66*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1525 | -0.14 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0107 | 0.32 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9529 | 28.52*** |
Persistence:
0.985
Half-life:
46 days
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