Skip to main content
V-Lab

AGNT Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

6,276.40

decreased by 634.22

1 Week

6,120.68

decreased by 789.94

1 Month

6,012.43

decreased by 898.19

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 09:33 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of AGNT Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 29, 2014 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 346573 trading days (~1375.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6809
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1244
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8756
γi Spline Coefficients
K=4
γ1-1.6737
γ22.2298
γ3-0.5119
γ40.0193

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

346573 days