AGNT Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026
1 Day
5,575.00
1 Week
6,456.01
1 Month
5,618.73
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 09:17 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 29, 2014 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1289 | 2.61*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8767 | 334.89*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1289 | -0.35 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 2.78*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0001 | 2.16** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.2062 | 14.83*** |
Persistence:
0.941
Half-life:
11 days
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