V-Lab
AGNT Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
6,098.73
1 Week
5,926.92
1 Month
5,818.07
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 09:33 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 29, 2014 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1284 | 2.59*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8771 | 336.83*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1284 | -0.34 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 2.75*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0001 | 2.14** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.2054 | 14.69*** |
Persistence:
0.941
Half-life:
11 days
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