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AGNT Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

5,384.39

decreased by 416.38

1 Week

5,342.74

decreased by 458.03

1 Month

6,067.35

increased by 266.58

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 09:33 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of AGNT Inc ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 29, 2014 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 390% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3.9316
1.85*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0269
6.81***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9206
425.05***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1049
11.93***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1386294 days