V-Lab
Shyft Group Inc/The Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 1st, 2026
1 Day
4,737.66
decreased by 66.03
1 Week
5,375.04
increased by 571.35
1 Month
5,755.76
increased by 952.07
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 1, 2026 at 09:26 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 2003 trading days (~7.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.5252 | 3.88*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0892 | 10.00*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9104 | 99.12*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0005 | -0.25 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
2003 days
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