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Shyft Group Inc/The ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 1st, 2026

1 Day

4,821.78

decreased by 68.62

1 Week

5,542.20

increased by 651.80

1 Month

5,962.37

increased by 1,071.97

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 1, 2026 at 09:26 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Shyft Group Inc/The ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 15 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 15 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1023
18.44***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9038
176.90***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1023
-2.49**
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0079
0.46
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.36
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9282
116.89***

Persistence:

0.955

Half-life:

15 days