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Yamashita Health Care Hldgs Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, October 6th, 2026

1 Day

7,491.09

increased by 1,084.22

1 Week

5,132.65

decreased by 1,274.22

1 Month

4,484.66

decreased by 1,922.21

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 6, 2026 at 08:01 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/05/2024

to

10/05/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Yamashita Health Care Hldgs ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 23, 2006 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.993, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 103 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.993, shock half-life ~103 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.9198
5.07***
αARCH0.1709
13.61***
βGARCH0.8224
65.00***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=3
γ1-0.1315
-5.86***
γ20.1890
5.36***
γ3-0.0321
-1.01

0.993

Persistence

103d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9198
5.07***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1709
13.61***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8224
65.00***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=3
γ1-0.1315
-5.86***
γ20.1890
5.36***
γ3-0.0321
-1.01

Persistence:

0.993

Half-life:

103 days