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Yamashita Health Care Hldgs Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026

1 Day

20,298.07

increased by 8,259.80

1 Week

13,936.34

increased by 1,898.07

1 Month

11,625.00

decreased by 413.27

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 2, 2026 at 08:32 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Yamashita Health Care Hldgs ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 23, 2006 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 115 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9289
5.12***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1687
13.61***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8253
66.12***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=3
γ1-0.1341
-5.71***
γ20.1902
5.17***
γ3-0.0242
-0.72

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

115 days