V-Lab
Yamashita Health Care Hldgs Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026
1 Day
20,298.07
increased by 8,259.80
1 Week
13,936.34
increased by 1,898.07
1 Month
11,625.00
decreased by 413.27
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 2, 2026 at 08:32 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 23, 2006 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.994, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 115 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9289 | 5.12*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1687 | 13.61*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8253 | 66.12*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=3
| γ1 | -0.1341 | -5.71*** |
| γ2 | 0.1902 | 5.17*** |
| γ3 | -0.0242 | -0.72 |
Persistence:
0.994
Half-life:
115 days
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