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Yamashita Health Care Hldgs ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026

1 Day

19,954.86

increased by 8,363.21

1 Week

13,514.25

increased by 1,922.60

1 Month

11,234.56

decreased by 357.09

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 2, 2026 at 08:33 AM UTC

Date Range:

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to

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2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of Yamashita Health Care Hldgs ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 23, 2006 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 124 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

116
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1701
9.93***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8380
306.63***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0274
-0.84
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

1.8018
1.87*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.01
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9993
924.40***

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

124 days