V-Lab
Jinli Group Holdings Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026
1 Day
8,603.12
decreased by 1,213.70
1 Week
8,695.45
decreased by 1,121.37
1 Month
6,964.42
decreased by 2,852.40
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 08:12 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 14, 2012 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 350 trading days (~1.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9925 | 3.46*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1637 | 14.27*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8343 | 72.52*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0007 | -0.06 |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
350 days
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