V-Lab
Jinli Group Holdings Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026
1 Day
7,949.34
1 Week
8,140.68
1 Month
6,497.02
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 08:12 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 14, 2012 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 13 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 13 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 96 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1299 | 1.58 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8591 | 320.55*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0827 | -0.53 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 1.65* |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 1.0000 | 1.62 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
Persistence:
0.948
Half-life:
13 days
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