Jinli Group Holdings Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 8th, 2026
1 Day
3,283.33
decreased by 484.74
1 Week
4,052.82
increased by 284.75
1 Month
5,455.85
increased by 1,687.78
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 8, 2026 at 08:48 PM UTC
Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 14, 2012 to Oct 2, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.996, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 174 trading days (~0.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 181% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
High persistence: persistence 0.996, shock half-life ~174 daysAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 181% more after negative returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.7863 | 1.39 |
| αARCH | 0.0657 | 4.28*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8709 | 93.23*** |
| γleverage | 0.1189 | 4.69*** |
0.996
Persistence174d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.7863 | 1.39 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0657 | 4.28*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8709 | 93.23*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1189 | 4.69*** |
Persistence:
0.996
Half-life:
174 days
Other Jinli Group Holdings Ltd Analyses
Other Asymmetric ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities