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Jinli Group Holdings Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 8th, 2026

1 Day

3,283.33

decreased by 484.74

1 Week

4,052.82

increased by 284.75

1 Month

5,455.85

increased by 1,687.78

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 8, 2026 at 08:48 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/07/2024

to

10/07/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Jinli Group Holdings Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 14, 2012 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.996, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 174 trading days (~0.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 181% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.996, shock half-life ~174 daysAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 181% more after negative returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.7863
1.39
αARCH0.0657
4.28***
βGARCH0.8709
93.23***
γleverage0.1189
4.69***

0.996

Persistence

174d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.7863
1.39
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0657
4.28***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8709
93.23***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1189
4.69***

Persistence:

0.996

Half-life:

174 days