V-Lab
Denkyo Group Holdings Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 4th, 2026
1 Day
4,236.39
increased by 2,023.13
1 Week
2,741.41
increased by 528.15
1 Month
1,757.00
decreased by 456.26
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 07:45 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 30, 1993 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 19 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.5284 | 6.46*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0831 | 9.42*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8816 | 64.52*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=8
| γ1 | 0.1905 | 3.14*** |
| γ2 | -0.4346 | -4.95*** |
| γ3 | 0.4731 | 7.89*** |
| γ4 | -0.3424 | -5.20*** |
| γ5 | 0.1571 | 2.38** |
| γ6 | -0.0378 | -0.61 |
| γ7 | -0.0181 | -0.24 |
| γ8 | -0.1315 | -1.12 |
Persistence:
0.965
Half-life:
19 days
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