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Denkyo Group Holdings Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 4th, 2026

1 Day

4,236.39

increased by 2,023.13

1 Week

2,741.41

increased by 528.15

1 Month

1,757.00

decreased by 456.26

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 07:45 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Denkyo Group Holdings Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 30, 1993 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 19 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.5284
6.46***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0831
9.42***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8816
64.52***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=8
γ10.1905
3.14***
γ2-0.4346
-4.95***
γ30.4731
7.89***
γ4-0.3424
-5.20***
γ50.1571
2.38**
γ6-0.0378
-0.61
γ7-0.0181
-0.24
γ8-0.1315
-1.12

Persistence:

0.965

Half-life:

19 days