V-Lab
Denkyo Group Holdings Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 4th, 2026
1 Day
3,746.23
increased by 1,644.82
1 Week
2,512.29
increased by 410.88
1 Month
1,988.03
decreased by 113.38
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 07:45 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 30, 1993 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 693147 trading days (~2750.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.77 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0468 | 5.27*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9432 | 183.36*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0201 | 1.06 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
693147 days
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