V-Lab
Denkyo Group Holdings Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 4th, 2026
1 Day
4,983.39
1 Week
3,302.10
1 Month
2,316.18
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 07:45 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 30, 1993 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 56 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0963 | 9.54*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8634 | 51.54*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0963 | -4.41*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 1.28 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0513 | 2.14** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9468 | 38.90*** |
Persistence:
0.912
Half-life:
7 days
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