V-Lab
Wood One Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026
1 Day
5,441.61
increased by 4,155.63
1 Week
2,451.34
increased by 1,165.36
1 Month
1,706.87
increased by 420.89
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 07:20 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 1, 1992 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 791 trading days (~3.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9842 | 5.92*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1374 | 18.53*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8618 | 114.23*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=4
| γ1 | -0.1128 | -6.78*** |
| γ2 | 0.1775 | 6.66*** |
| γ3 | -0.1125 | -5.44*** |
| γ4 | 0.1000 | 3.42*** |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
791 days
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