V-Lab
Wood One Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026
1 Day
6,929.43
1 Week
2,688.89
1 Month
1,688.67
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 07:20 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 1, 1992 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1456 | 0.07 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7356 | 27.78*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0346 | 0.01 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 5.7059 | 0.07 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1937 | 0.07 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8063 | 5.09*** |
Persistence:
0.899
Half-life:
6 days
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